Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.266582 0.313850 0.370051 0.442658 0.535253 0.651171 0.810185
2025-02-02 0.201065 0.259779 0.339163 0.458017 0.638395 0.914740 1.399204
2025-02-09 0.162739 0.224399 0.315858 0.469175 0.737642 1.230431 2.334857
2025-02-16 0.138911 0.201342 0.300933 0.484152 0.847640 1.638776 3.936523
2025-02-23 0.121135 0.182566 0.286415 0.492777 0.949276 2.114819 6.564145
2025-03-02 0.107239 0.166823 0.272477 0.496657 1.043013 2.666830 10.990840
2025-03-09 0.095631 0.152643 0.257791 0.493626 1.119534 3.264584 18.346325
2025-03-16 0.085434 0.139192 0.241533 0.481816 1.167631 3.841155 29.951718
2025-03-23 0.079755 0.133053 0.238344 0.499424 1.314690 5.081065 66.861803
2025-03-30 0.072518 0.122894 0.224906 0.487468 1.361083 5.947297 127.687914
2025-04-06 0.067901 0.117179 0.219895 0.496249 1.490126 7.654943 377.203404
2025-04-13 0.062830 0.109907 0.210187 0.489290 1.556484 9.173727 1210.473385
2025-04-20 0.059422 0.105707 0.207017 0.501415 1.721330 12.334589 20083.457253
2025-04-27 0.056798 0.102828 0.206501 0.522055 1.952168 17.801903 NaN
2025-05-04 0.054073 0.099396 0.204070 0.536128 2.171335 25.414218 NaN
2025-05-11 0.051784 0.096635 0.202845 0.554257 2.443196 38.465522 NaN
2025-05-18 0.049374 0.093328 0.199666 0.564650 2.688120 57.351062 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046969 0.089772 0.195274 0.569318 2.908484 84.989768 NaN
2025-06-01 0.044496 0.085810 0.189203 0.565699 3.069034 121.253864 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041900 0.081330 0.181098 0.551580 3.130743 159.091197 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040645 0.079884 0.181303 0.572642 3.561625 328.020909 NaN
2025-06-22 0.038436 0.075962 0.173882 0.558336 3.624330 463.814873 NaN
2025-06-29 0.037101 0.074037 0.172039 0.568841 3.992018 1050.679586 NaN